Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Austin show overnight lows centered near 73–75°F on August 30, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes typical of late-summer high pressure. Clearer skies enhance radiative cooling and could push readings toward the 67–71°F range favored by 29 % of traders, while higher dew points or increased cloudiness limit cooling and support the leading 72–75°F outcomes. Historical climatology places average August lows near 74°F, so resolution hinges on the 24-hour model updates and any late-day frontal moisture that alters the diurnal temperature curve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
67°F or below 54%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 34%
68-69°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
54%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
67°F or below 54%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 34%
68-69°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
$25 Vol.
54%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80-81°F
$6 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$37 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$24 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Austin show overnight lows centered near 73–75°F on August 30, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes typical of late-summer high pressure. Clearer skies enhance radiative cooling and could push readings toward the 67–71°F range favored by 29 % of traders, while higher dew points or increased cloudiness limit cooling and support the leading 72–75°F outcomes. Historical climatology places average August lows near 74°F, so resolution hinges on the 24-hour model updates and any late-day frontal moisture that alters the diurnal temperature curve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Austin show overnight lows centered near 73–75°F on August 30, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes typical of late-summer high pressure. Clearer skies enhance radiative cooling and could push readings toward the 67–71°F range favored by 29 % of traders, while higher dew points or increased cloudiness limit cooling and support the leading 72–75°F outcomes. Historical climatology places average August lows near 74°F, so resolution hinges on the 24-hour model updates and any late-day frontal moisture that alters the diurnal temperature curve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Austin show overnight lows centered near 73–75°F on August 30, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light wind regimes typical of late-summer high pressure. Clearer skies enhance radiative cooling and could push readings toward the 67–71°F range favored by 29 % of traders, while higher dew points or increased cloudiness limit cooling and support the leading 72–75°F outcomes. Historical climatology places average August lows near 74°F, so resolution hinges on the 24-hour model updates and any late-day frontal moisture that alters the diurnal temperature curve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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