Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 30 show daytime highs near 90°F with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and overnight lows around 62°F under mostly cloudy skies. This setup, with potential for variable cloud cover and localized cooling from showers, drives the market-implied 43.5% probability on a minimum of 59°F or below while supporting strong interest in the 66-67°F and 64-65°F bands. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with climatological norms for late August, where typical minima hover near 55°F but current warmer, moist conditions elevate the floor; traders weigh these factors against forecast uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 30?
78°F or higher 57%
59°F or below 39%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
59°F or below
39%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
38%
78°F or higher
57%
78°F or higher 57%
59°F or below 39%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
59°F or below
39%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
38%
78°F or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 30 show daytime highs near 90°F with a 50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and overnight lows around 62°F under mostly cloudy skies. This setup, with potential for variable cloud cover and localized cooling from showers, drives the market-implied 43.5% probability on a minimum of 59°F or below while supporting strong interest in the 66-67°F and 64-65°F bands. Model consensus from recent runs aligns with climatological norms for late August, where typical minima hover near 55°F but current warmer, moist conditions elevate the floor; traders weigh these factors against forecast uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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