Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver point to an overnight low near 64–66°F on August 28 under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Subtle differences among leading bins reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, dew-point recovery, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum readings by 2–3°F across model runs. Late-summer high pressure dominates with no incoming cold fronts, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56°F. Traders weigh the latest 00Z–12Z model guidance and any evening sounding updates for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 28?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 28%
62-63°F 25%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
14%
74°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 28%
62-63°F 25%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
14%
74°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver point to an overnight low near 64–66°F on August 28 under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Subtle differences among leading bins reflect uncertainty in cloud cover, dew-point recovery, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum readings by 2–3°F across model runs. Late-summer high pressure dominates with no incoming cold fronts, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56°F. Traders weigh the latest 00Z–12Z model guidance and any evening sounding updates for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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