**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Friday high of 93–96°F for Denver, with most guidance centering near 94–95°F.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 92–93°F (49%) and 94–95°F (37%), as traders price in the current National Weather Service point forecast of 95°F and ensemble consensus around 93–95°F. Late-August climatology favors above-normal warmth under building high pressure, with dew points in the 40s–50s, light southwesterly flow, and only a 10–20% thunderstorm chance that limits evaporative cooling. Recent observations show Thursday’s high near 89–90°F and minimal overnight recovery, allowing strong diurnal heating on Friday. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups in Denver rarely exceed 96°F without stronger downslope winds or drier boundary-layer mixing, which current guidance does not support. Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability (under 10% combined) to 96°F+, while the slim tail below 92°F reflects the low chance that increased cloud cover or earlier convection suppresses the peak. The next model update cycle and any revised NWS forecast will be the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 28?
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 37%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
83°F or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$218 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$355 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$70 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$116 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$1,392 Vol.
50%
94-95°F
$449 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$222 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$57 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Friday high of 93–96°F for Denver, with most guidance centering near 94–95°F.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 92–93°F (49%) and 94–95°F (37%), as traders price in the current National Weather Service point forecast of 95°F and ensemble consensus around 93–95°F.
Late-August climatology favors above-normal warmth under building high pressure, with dew points in the 40s–50s, light southwesterly flow, and only a 10–20% thunderstorm chance that limits evaporative cooling. Recent observations show Thursday’s high near 89–90°F and minimal overnight recovery, allowing strong diurnal heating on Friday. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups in Denver rarely exceed 96°F without stronger downslope winds or drier boundary-layer mixing, which current guidance does not support.
Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability (under 10% combined) to 96°F+, while the slim tail below 92°F reflects the low chance that increased cloud cover or earlier convection suppresses the peak. The next model update cycle and any revised NWS forecast will be the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,117End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Friday high of 93–96°F for Denver, with most guidance centering near 94–95°F.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 92–93°F (49%) and 94–95°F (37%), as traders price in the current National Weather Service point forecast of 95°F and ensemble consensus around 93–95°F.
Late-August climatology favors above-normal warmth under building high pressure, with dew points in the 40s–50s, light southwesterly flow, and only a 10–20% thunderstorm chance that limits evaporative cooling. Recent observations show Thursday’s high near 89–90°F and minimal overnight recovery, allowing strong diurnal heating on Friday. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups in Denver rarely exceed 96°F without stronger downslope winds or drier boundary-layer mixing, which current guidance does not support.
Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability (under 10% combined) to 96°F+, while the slim tail below 92°F reflects the low chance that increased cloud cover or earlier convection suppresses the peak. The next model update cycle and any revised NWS forecast will be the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,117End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Friday high of 93–96°F for Denver, with most guidance centering near 94–95°F.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 92–93°F (49%) and 94–95°F (37%), as traders price in the current National Weather Service point forecast of 95°F and ensemble consensus around 93–95°F. Late-August climatology favors above-normal warmth under building high pressure, with dew points in the 40s–50s, light southwesterly flow, and only a 10–20% thunderstorm chance that limits evaporative cooling. Recent observations show Thursday’s high near 89–90°F and minimal overnight recovery, allowing strong diurnal heating on Friday. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups in Denver rarely exceed 96°F without stronger downslope winds or drier boundary-layer mixing, which current guidance does not support. Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability (under 10% combined) to 96°F+, while the slim tail below 92°F reflects the low chance that increased cloud cover or earlier convection suppresses the peak. The next model update cycle and any revised NWS forecast will be the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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