Official National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a peak temperature of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 30 under continued high pressure, south-southwest flow at 5–10 mph, and mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation. The region remains locked in a hot, dry pattern with dew points in the mid-60s supporting efficient daytime heating but limited moisture for cloud development or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows late-August Dallas highs averaging near 94°F, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 100–101°F against minor model spread and potential for a degree or two of variance from local siting or slight wind shifts, producing the strong implied probability for that bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
91°F or below
$49 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$252 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$303 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$3,657 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$1,617 Vol.
68%
102-103°F
$444 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$68 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$140 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$108 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a peak temperature of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 30 under continued high pressure, south-southwest flow at 5–10 mph, and mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation. The region remains locked in a hot, dry pattern with dew points in the mid-60s supporting efficient daytime heating but limited moisture for cloud development or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows late-August Dallas highs averaging near 94°F, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 100–101°F against minor model spread and potential for a degree or two of variance from local siting or slight wind shifts, producing the strong implied probability for that bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,059End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a peak temperature of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 30 under continued high pressure, south-southwest flow at 5–10 mph, and mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation. The region remains locked in a hot, dry pattern with dew points in the mid-60s supporting efficient daytime heating but limited moisture for cloud development or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows late-August Dallas highs averaging near 94°F, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 100–101°F against minor model spread and potential for a degree or two of variance from local siting or slight wind shifts, producing the strong implied probability for that bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,059End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a peak temperature of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 30 under continued high pressure, south-southwest flow at 5–10 mph, and mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation. The region remains locked in a hot, dry pattern with dew points in the mid-60s supporting efficient daytime heating but limited moisture for cloud development or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows late-August Dallas highs averaging near 94°F, so current conditions represent well above-normal warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around 100–101°F against minor model spread and potential for a degree or two of variance from local siting or slight wind shifts, producing the strong implied probability for that bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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