**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal. Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
27°C 99.5%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
$3,508 Vol.
$3,508 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
$3,508 Vol.
$3,508 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
No
23°C
$80 Vol.
No
24°C
$80 Vol.
No
25°C
$88 Vol.
No
26°C
$15 Vol.
No
27°C
$46 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$1,289 Vol.
No
29°C
$300 Vol.
No
30°C
$40 Vol.
No
31°C
$900 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$450 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal.
Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,508End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal.
Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,508End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including a low-pressure area over south Uttar Pradesh and an east-west monsoon trough, have sustained cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow on August 26, 2026.** These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated. Official IMD observations at Lucknow Airport recorded a minimum of 27.0°C (1.6°C above normal), consistent with statewide night temperatures showing little change and remaining near normal. Trader consensus on 26–27°C (combined ~100% probability) reflects this persistent moisture and overcast skies, which trap heat and suppress temperature drops. Differentiation between the two hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: heavier or more continuous precipitation favors 27°C by enhancing the warming effect, while any brief clearing could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C. Forecasts from IMD and other models project continued rain/thundershowers, supporting the narrow range around these values rather than lower outcomes seen in drier conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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