**Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 26, 2026, show strong consensus for an overnight minimum of 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C.** Official model runs and station guidance align on this threshold amid typical late-summer conditions in central Anatolia, where diurnal temperature ranges often reach 15–18°C with light winds and low humidity. The near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) reflects aggregated trader assessment of these data, including consistent outputs from regional numerical weather prediction systems. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, a stronger low-level jet, or measurement discrepancies at the primary observing station that shift the recorded low outside the 15°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
15°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,466 Vol.
$2,466 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,466 Vol.
$2,466 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
13°C or below
$371 Vol.
No
14°C
$179 Vol.
No
15°C
$246 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$121 Vol.
No
17°C
$198 Vol.
No
18°C
$337 Vol.
No
19°C
$272 Vol.
No
20°C
$90 Vol.
No
21°C
$40 Vol.
No
22°C
$430 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$180 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 26, 2026, show strong consensus for an overnight minimum of 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C.** Official model runs and station guidance align on this threshold amid typical late-summer conditions in central Anatolia, where diurnal temperature ranges often reach 15–18°C with light winds and low humidity. The near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) reflects aggregated trader assessment of these data, including consistent outputs from regional numerical weather prediction systems. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, a stronger low-level jet, or measurement discrepancies at the primary observing station that shift the recorded low outside the 15°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,466End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 26, 2026, show strong consensus for an overnight minimum of 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C.** Official model runs and station guidance align on this threshold amid typical late-summer conditions in central Anatolia, where diurnal temperature ranges often reach 15–18°C with light winds and low humidity. The near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) reflects aggregated trader assessment of these data, including consistent outputs from regional numerical weather prediction systems. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, a stronger low-level jet, or measurement discrepancies at the primary observing station that shift the recorded low outside the 15°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,466End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 26, 2026, show strong consensus for an overnight minimum of 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32–33°C.** Official model runs and station guidance align on this threshold amid typical late-summer conditions in central Anatolia, where diurnal temperature ranges often reach 15–18°C with light winds and low humidity. The near-certain market-implied probability (99.5%) reflects aggregated trader assessment of these data, including consistent outputs from regional numerical weather prediction systems. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, a stronger low-level jet, or measurement discrepancies at the primary observing station that shift the recorded low outside the 15°C bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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