**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 26 centers on the interplay between seasonal subtropical heat and a forecast featuring afternoon thundershowers with 40% probability of precipitation.** Central Weather Administration guidance projects a daily range of 26–30°C, yet recent model consensus and historical August maxima near 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined ~60% implied probability). Persistent low-level moisture, cloud cover, and possible steering influences from nearby tropical systems could suppress afternoon heating and keep the official CWA maximum at or below 31°C, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation might push readings to 34°C. Upcoming CWA forecast updates and morning observational trends will provide the key signals for resolution near the 30–35°C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
14%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$64 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$256 Vol.
4%
31°C
$181 Vol.
13%
32°C
$63 Vol.
29%
33°C
$427 Vol.
31%
34°C
$507 Vol.
14%
35°C
$300 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$791 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 26 centers on the interplay between seasonal subtropical heat and a forecast featuring afternoon thundershowers with 40% probability of precipitation.** Central Weather Administration guidance projects a daily range of 26–30°C, yet recent model consensus and historical August maxima near 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined ~60% implied probability). Persistent low-level moisture, cloud cover, and possible steering influences from nearby tropical systems could suppress afternoon heating and keep the official CWA maximum at or below 31°C, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation might push readings to 34°C. Upcoming CWA forecast updates and morning observational trends will provide the key signals for resolution near the 30–35°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,265End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 26 centers on the interplay between seasonal subtropical heat and a forecast featuring afternoon thundershowers with 40% probability of precipitation.** Central Weather Administration guidance projects a daily range of 26–30°C, yet recent model consensus and historical August maxima near 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined ~60% implied probability). Persistent low-level moisture, cloud cover, and possible steering influences from nearby tropical systems could suppress afternoon heating and keep the official CWA maximum at or below 31°C, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation might push readings to 34°C. Upcoming CWA forecast updates and morning observational trends will provide the key signals for resolution near the 30–35°C thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,265End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 26 centers on the interplay between seasonal subtropical heat and a forecast featuring afternoon thundershowers with 40% probability of precipitation.** Central Weather Administration guidance projects a daily range of 26–30°C, yet recent model consensus and historical August maxima near 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined ~60% implied probability). Persistent low-level moisture, cloud cover, and possible steering influences from nearby tropical systems could suppress afternoon heating and keep the official CWA maximum at or below 31°C, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation might push readings to 34°C. Upcoming CWA forecast updates and morning observational trends will provide the key signals for resolution near the 30–35°C thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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