Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26, 2026, center on a daytime maximum near 30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and only brief light rain chances that limit cooling. Persistent high humidity from regional moisture transport and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure support this outcome, aligning with observed temperatures already approaching or reaching the threshold during peak heating hours. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope and historical model accuracy for this threshold. Only substantial unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or heavier localized showers could realistically cap the high below 30°C or push it to 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$50,744 Vol.
$50,744 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$50,744 Vol.
$50,744 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$566 Vol.
No
24°C
$366 Vol.
No
25°C
$366 Vol.
No
26°C
$661 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,718 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,133 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,065 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,527 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$4,799 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,333 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$3,210 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26, 2026, center on a daytime maximum near 30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and only brief light rain chances that limit cooling. Persistent high humidity from regional moisture transport and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure support this outcome, aligning with observed temperatures already approaching or reaching the threshold during peak heating hours. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope and historical model accuracy for this threshold. Only substantial unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or heavier localized showers could realistically cap the high below 30°C or push it to 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$50,744End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26, 2026, center on a daytime maximum near 30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and only brief light rain chances that limit cooling. Persistent high humidity from regional moisture transport and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure support this outcome, aligning with observed temperatures already approaching or reaching the threshold during peak heating hours. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope and historical model accuracy for this threshold. Only substantial unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or heavier localized showers could realistically cap the high below 30°C or push it to 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,744End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26, 2026, center on a daytime maximum near 30°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and only brief light rain chances that limit cooling. Persistent high humidity from regional moisture transport and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure support this outcome, aligning with observed temperatures already approaching or reaching the threshold during peak heating hours. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects the narrow forecast envelope and historical model accuracy for this threshold. Only substantial unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or heavier localized showers could realistically cap the high below 30°C or push it to 31°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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