Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at the Incheon station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 31°C on August 25, 2026, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. Recent short-range KMA forecasts anticipated highs near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and 20% precipitation chances that limited peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Seoul metropolitan area, where humid maritime air and variable cloud cover frequently cap maxima in the low 30s Celsius. The strong consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time station data and model consensus showing no pathway to 32°C or above once afternoon readings stabilized. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by KMA—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$57,666 Vol.
$57,666 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$57,666 Vol.
$57,666 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$211 Vol.
No
25°C
$175 Vol.
No
26°C
$194 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,172 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,918 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,135 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,246 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,078 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$7,014 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,377 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,146 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at the Incheon station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 31°C on August 25, 2026, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. Recent short-range KMA forecasts anticipated highs near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and 20% precipitation chances that limited peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Seoul metropolitan area, where humid maritime air and variable cloud cover frequently cap maxima in the low 30s Celsius. The strong consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time station data and model consensus showing no pathway to 32°C or above once afternoon readings stabilized. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by KMA—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$57,666End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at the Incheon station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 31°C on August 25, 2026, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. Recent short-range KMA forecasts anticipated highs near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and 20% precipitation chances that limited peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Seoul metropolitan area, where humid maritime air and variable cloud cover frequently cap maxima in the low 30s Celsius. The strong consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time station data and model consensus showing no pathway to 32°C or above once afternoon readings stabilized. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by KMA—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,666End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at the Incheon station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 31°C on August 25, 2026, locking in market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. Recent short-range KMA forecasts anticipated highs near 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and 20% precipitation chances that limited peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Seoul metropolitan area, where humid maritime air and variable cloud cover frequently cap maxima in the low 30s Celsius. The strong consensus reflects traders incorporating real-time station data and model consensus showing no pathway to 32°C or above once afternoon readings stabilized. Only an unprecedented post-observation revision by KMA—highly improbable given standardized instrumentation and quality controls—could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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