Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 32°C for Qingdao on August 25, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70-80%. This consensus across multiple model runs and surface data supports the market's near-certain positioning on that exact threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region where August highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Trader confidence reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance from authoritative sources, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific readings, microclimate effects, or final official verification adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,798 Vol.
$27,798 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$27,798 Vol.
$27,798 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$61 Vol.
No
26°C
$64 Vol.
No
27°C
$60 Vol.
No
28°C
$415 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,609 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,438 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,225 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,513 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$4,784 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,447 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$5,181 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 32°C for Qingdao on August 25, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70-80%. This consensus across multiple model runs and surface data supports the market's near-certain positioning on that exact threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region where August highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Trader confidence reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance from authoritative sources, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific readings, microclimate effects, or final official verification adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27,798End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 32°C for Qingdao on August 25, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70-80%. This consensus across multiple model runs and surface data supports the market's near-certain positioning on that exact threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region where August highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Trader confidence reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance from authoritative sources, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific readings, microclimate effects, or final official verification adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,798End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature of 32°C for Qingdao on August 25, 2026, under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and typical late-summer humidity levels near 70-80%. This consensus across multiple model runs and surface data supports the market's near-certain positioning on that exact threshold, consistent with climatological norms for the region where August highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Trader confidence reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance from authoritative sources, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific readings, microclimate effects, or final official verification adjustments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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