Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate afternoon highs for Panama City likely clustering between 29–32 °C on August 27, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture, scattered convective showers, and typical rainy-season cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 31–33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty around the precise timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees when they develop earlier in the day. Historical August averages near 30–31 °C provide baseline context, while current model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale steering patterns and high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Updated guidance from local agencies on storm coverage will be the key near-term variable traders are monitoring before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate afternoon highs for Panama City likely clustering between 29–32 °C on August 27, driven by persistent trade-wind moisture, scattered convective showers, and typical rainy-season cloud cover that limits peak insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 31–33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty around the precise timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees when they develop earlier in the day. Historical August averages near 30–31 °C provide baseline context, while current model runs show limited spread due to stable large-scale steering patterns and high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Updated guidance from local agencies on storm coverage will be the key near-term variable traders are monitoring before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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