Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a daily maximum of 30°C for Lucknow on August 25, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. This consensus, reinforced by ongoing southwest monsoon activity that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 30°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent overcast conditions and moisture have suppressed temperatures by several degrees relative to clear-sky baselines. Official station data and model runs will finalize the recorded maximum by evening. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or localized heating could allow readings to edge higher, while measurement timing or microscale variations remain minor sources of uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 25?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,422 Vol.
$17,422 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,422 Vol.
$17,422 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
27°C or below
$555 Vol.
No
28°C
$230 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,284 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,023 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$3,094 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,228 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,394 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,320 Vol.
No
35°C
$632 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,345 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,318 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a daily maximum of 30°C for Lucknow on August 25, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. This consensus, reinforced by ongoing southwest monsoon activity that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 30°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent overcast conditions and moisture have suppressed temperatures by several degrees relative to clear-sky baselines. Official station data and model runs will finalize the recorded maximum by evening. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or localized heating could allow readings to edge higher, while measurement timing or microscale variations remain minor sources of uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,422End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a daily maximum of 30°C for Lucknow on August 25, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. This consensus, reinforced by ongoing southwest monsoon activity that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 30°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent overcast conditions and moisture have suppressed temperatures by several degrees relative to clear-sky baselines. Official station data and model runs will finalize the recorded maximum by evening. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or localized heating could allow readings to edge higher, while measurement timing or microscale variations remain minor sources of uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,422End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a daily maximum of 30°C for Lucknow on August 25, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. This consensus, reinforced by ongoing southwest monsoon activity that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 30°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 31–32°C, but recent overcast conditions and moisture have suppressed temperatures by several degrees relative to clear-sky baselines. Official station data and model runs will finalize the recorded maximum by evening. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or localized heating could allow readings to edge higher, while measurement timing or microscale variations remain minor sources of uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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