Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor re-elected with 85% support in 2024, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and strong voter recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Quaest surveys from late August show him at 55% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 35%, with other registered candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Delegado Marcos polling at 1% or below. Traders price Furlan near 93% amid his active campaigning, including regional visits and coalition efforts, while Clécio trails despite holding the governorship since 2022. A first-round victory remains possible if current margins hold, though shifts in undecided voters (around 8%), national endorsements, or late developments like offshore oil exploration could narrow the gap before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.6%
Clécio Luís 2.6%
Jairo Palheta 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
93%
Marcos Reategui
4%
Clécio Luís
3%
Jairo Palheta
2%
Carlos Cley
1%
Dr. Furlan 93%
Marcos Reategui 3.6%
Clécio Luís 2.6%
Jairo Palheta 1.5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Furlan
$1,240 Vol.
93%
Marcos Reategui
$209 Vol.
4%
Clécio Luís
$169 Vol.
3%
Jairo Palheta
$374 Vol.
2%
Carlos Cley
$128 Vol.
1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor re-elected with 85% support in 2024, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and strong voter recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Quaest surveys from late August show him at 55% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 35%, with other registered candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Delegado Marcos polling at 1% or below. Traders price Furlan near 93% amid his active campaigning, including regional visits and coalition efforts, while Clécio trails despite holding the governorship since 2022. A first-round victory remains possible if current margins hold, though shifts in undecided voters (around 8%), national endorsements, or late developments like offshore oil exploration could narrow the gap before ballots close.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,122End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor re-elected with 85% support in 2024, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and strong voter recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Quaest surveys from late August show him at 55% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 35%, with other registered candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Delegado Marcos polling at 1% or below. Traders price Furlan near 93% amid his active campaigning, including regional visits and coalition efforts, while Clécio trails despite holding the governorship since 2022. A first-round victory remains possible if current margins hold, though shifts in undecided voters (around 8%), national endorsements, or late developments like offshore oil exploration could narrow the gap before ballots close.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,122End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor re-elected with 85% support in 2024, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and strong voter recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent Quaest surveys from late August show him at 55% against incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) at 35%, with other registered candidates such as Jairo Palheta, Carlos Cley, and Delegado Marcos polling at 1% or below. Traders price Furlan near 93% amid his active campaigning, including regional visits and coalition efforts, while Clécio trails despite holding the governorship since 2022. A first-round victory remains possible if current margins hold, though shifts in undecided voters (around 8%), national endorsements, or late developments like offshore oil exploration could narrow the gap before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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