Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 25 minimum temperature centers on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting stable late-summer conditions with clear skies promoting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C and lows of 22–23°C under sunny, breezy northeasterly flow influenced by the Black Sea, consistent with climatological August minima averaging around 20–21°C but elevated this period by the absence of cool air advection or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the diurnal range, supporting the market's emphasis on these thresholds while leaving limited room for sub-20°C readings without unexpected developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
24°C 100.0%
19°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$2,650 Vol.
$2,650 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
23°C 1.0%
$2,650 Vol.
$2,650 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$635 Vol.
No
19°C
$142 Vol.
No
20°C
$139 Vol.
No
21°C
$109 Vol.
No
22°C
$85 Vol.
No
23°C
$55 Vol.
No
24°C
$191 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$225 Vol.
No
26°C
$516 Vol.
No
27°C
$308 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$244 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 25 minimum temperature centers on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting stable late-summer conditions with clear skies promoting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C and lows of 22–23°C under sunny, breezy northeasterly flow influenced by the Black Sea, consistent with climatological August minima averaging around 20–21°C but elevated this period by the absence of cool air advection or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the diurnal range, supporting the market's emphasis on these thresholds while leaving limited room for sub-20°C readings without unexpected developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,650End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 25 minimum temperature centers on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting stable late-summer conditions with clear skies promoting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C and lows of 22–23°C under sunny, breezy northeasterly flow influenced by the Black Sea, consistent with climatological August minima averaging around 20–21°C but elevated this period by the absence of cool air advection or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the diurnal range, supporting the market's emphasis on these thresholds while leaving limited room for sub-20°C readings without unexpected developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,650End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 25 minimum temperature centers on 22–24°C outcomes, reflecting stable late-summer conditions with clear skies promoting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C and lows of 22–23°C under sunny, breezy northeasterly flow influenced by the Black Sea, consistent with climatological August minima averaging around 20–21°C but elevated this period by the absence of cool air advection or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the diurnal range, supporting the market's emphasis on these thresholds while leaving limited room for sub-20°C readings without unexpected developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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