Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by building high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions. Recent mid-August cold fronts delivered below-normal readings, but the pattern has stabilized with above-average temperatures for late winter. Key variables differentiating 8–12°C outcomes include exact cloud cover, wind speeds above 10–15 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle Atlantic moisture influx; historical August minima average near 8–9°C, so traders weigh model spread against the risk of stronger nocturnal drops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
6°C or below 66%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
66%
7°C
19%
8°C
49%
9°C
21%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
49%
13°C
2%
14°C
43%
15°C
20%
16°C or higher
43%
6°C or below 66%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
14°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
66%
7°C
$0 Vol.
19%
8°C
$0 Vol.
49%
9°C
$131 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by building high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions. Recent mid-August cold fronts delivered below-normal readings, but the pattern has stabilized with above-average temperatures for late winter. Key variables differentiating 8–12°C outcomes include exact cloud cover, wind speeds above 10–15 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle Atlantic moisture influx; historical August minima average near 8–9°C, so traders weigh model spread against the risk of stronger nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by building high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions. Recent mid-August cold fronts delivered below-normal readings, but the pattern has stabilized with above-average temperatures for late winter. Key variables differentiating 8–12°C outcomes include exact cloud cover, wind speeds above 10–15 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle Atlantic moisture influx; historical August minima average near 8–9°C, so traders weigh model spread against the risk of stronger nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Cape Town on August 30, driven by building high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting overnight radiative cooling under dry conditions. Recent mid-August cold fronts delivered below-normal readings, but the pattern has stabilized with above-average temperatures for late winter. Key variables differentiating 8–12°C outcomes include exact cloud cover, wind speeds above 10–15 km/h that reduce cooling, and any subtle Atlantic moisture influx; historical August minima average near 8–9°C, so traders weigh model spread against the risk of stronger nocturnal drops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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