Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on August 27, with closely matched odds across multiple bins indicating traders see several plausible outcomes. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a weak cold front and variable winds over the Río de la Plata, which could produce radiational cooling under clear skies or modest warming from cloud cover and urban effects. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, yet slight shifts in timing or intensity of the air mass keep probabilities spread. New model runs and official updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tonight represent the next key data points that could consolidate trader views.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
12°C 27%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
-
7°C
2%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
20%
12°C 27%
8°C 26%
9°C 26%
10°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
$28 Vol.
-
7°C
$11 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C or higher
$22 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on August 27, with closely matched odds across multiple bins indicating traders see several plausible outcomes. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a weak cold front and variable winds over the Río de la Plata, which could produce radiational cooling under clear skies or modest warming from cloud cover and urban effects. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, yet slight shifts in timing or intensity of the air mass keep probabilities spread. New model runs and official updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tonight represent the next key data points that could consolidate trader views.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$61End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on August 27, with closely matched odds across multiple bins indicating traders see several plausible outcomes. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a weak cold front and variable winds over the Río de la Plata, which could produce radiational cooling under clear skies or modest warming from cloud cover and urban effects. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, yet slight shifts in timing or intensity of the air mass keep probabilities spread. New model runs and official updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tonight represent the next key data points that could consolidate trader views.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on August 27, with closely matched odds across multiple bins indicating traders see several plausible outcomes. Current model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a weak cold front and variable winds over the Río de la Plata, which could produce radiational cooling under clear skies or modest warming from cloud cover and urban effects. Historical August minima average near 8–10°C, yet slight shifts in timing or intensity of the air mass keep probabilities spread. New model runs and official updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional tonight represent the next key data points that could consolidate trader views.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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