Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from Spain's AEMET and international forecasts establish 28°C as the day's maximum in Madrid, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and suppressed heating from Atlantic air masses that kept afternoon peaks near this threshold rather than seasonal norms around 31–32°C. Official station readings, including Retiro and airport sites, aligned with this value amid low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting efficient but limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the narrow uncertainty band in final verified data, with resolution hinging on precise official reporting; minor deviations from localized urban heat or measurement timing represent the primary realistic challenges to this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,721 Vol.
$75,721 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$75,721 Vol.
$75,721 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
24°C or below
$503 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,312 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,262 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,100 Vol.
No
28°C
$19,835 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$15,321 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,888 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,932 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,483 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,269 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,816 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from Spain's AEMET and international forecasts establish 28°C as the day's maximum in Madrid, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and suppressed heating from Atlantic air masses that kept afternoon peaks near this threshold rather than seasonal norms around 31–32°C. Official station readings, including Retiro and airport sites, aligned with this value amid low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting efficient but limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the narrow uncertainty band in final verified data, with resolution hinging on precise official reporting; minor deviations from localized urban heat or measurement timing represent the primary realistic challenges to this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$75,721End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from Spain's AEMET and international forecasts establish 28°C as the day's maximum in Madrid, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and suppressed heating from Atlantic air masses that kept afternoon peaks near this threshold rather than seasonal norms around 31–32°C. Official station readings, including Retiro and airport sites, aligned with this value amid low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting efficient but limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the narrow uncertainty band in final verified data, with resolution hinging on precise official reporting; minor deviations from localized urban heat or measurement timing represent the primary realistic challenges to this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75,721End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from Spain's AEMET and international forecasts establish 28°C as the day's maximum in Madrid, driven by partly cloudy skies, moderate southwest winds, and suppressed heating from Atlantic air masses that kept afternoon peaks near this threshold rather than seasonal norms around 31–32°C. Official station readings, including Retiro and airport sites, aligned with this value amid low precipitation probability and humidity levels supporting efficient but limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the narrow uncertainty band in final verified data, with resolution hinging on precise official reporting; minor deviations from localized urban heat or measurement timing represent the primary realistic challenges to this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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