**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 36°C daily high for Jeddah on August 25, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from authoritative sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and aligned international records.** Typical late-August Red Sea coastal conditions—elevated humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover—normally support highs near 37–38°C, consistent with climatological averages from long-term station data. The realized maximum of exactly 36°C aligns with stable model consensus from the Met Office and AccuWeather runs showing no anomalous heat advection or intensification. This outcome is further supported by the absence of synoptic shifts that could elevate temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited to late-day measurement revisions by official agencies or discrepancies in station siting, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$21,829 Vol.
$21,829 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$21,829 Vol.
$21,829 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$152 Vol.
No
31°C
$133 Vol.
No
32°C
$104 Vol.
No
33°C
$252 Vol.
No
34°C
$552 Vol.
No
35°C
$293 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,595 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$4,002 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,999 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,325 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$3,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 36°C daily high for Jeddah on August 25, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from authoritative sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and aligned international records.** Typical late-August Red Sea coastal conditions—elevated humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover—normally support highs near 37–38°C, consistent with climatological averages from long-term station data. The realized maximum of exactly 36°C aligns with stable model consensus from the Met Office and AccuWeather runs showing no anomalous heat advection or intensification. This outcome is further supported by the absence of synoptic shifts that could elevate temperatures.
Realistic challenges remain limited to late-day measurement revisions by official agencies or discrepancies in station siting, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$21,829End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 36°C daily high for Jeddah on August 25, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from authoritative sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and aligned international records.** Typical late-August Red Sea coastal conditions—elevated humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover—normally support highs near 37–38°C, consistent with climatological averages from long-term station data. The realized maximum of exactly 36°C aligns with stable model consensus from the Met Office and AccuWeather runs showing no anomalous heat advection or intensification. This outcome is further supported by the absence of synoptic shifts that could elevate temperatures.
Realistic challenges remain limited to late-day measurement revisions by official agencies or discrepancies in station siting, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,829End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 36°C daily high for Jeddah on August 25, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from authoritative sources such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and aligned international records.** Typical late-August Red Sea coastal conditions—elevated humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover—normally support highs near 37–38°C, consistent with climatological averages from long-term station data. The realized maximum of exactly 36°C aligns with stable model consensus from the Met Office and AccuWeather runs showing no anomalous heat advection or intensification. This outcome is further supported by the absence of synoptic shifts that could elevate temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited to late-day measurement revisions by official agencies or discrepancies in station siting, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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