The Polymarket's overwhelming consensus on an 82-83°F high for Denver on August 25 stems from verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at official stations, consistent with late-August climatology showing an average high near 86°F. Moderating factors included increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and steering patterns that suppressed peak solar heating compared to earlier August heat episodes exceeding 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal uncertainty. Scenarios that could have challenged it, such as clearer skies or stronger downslope winds boosting readings into the mid-80s or higher, did not materialize, locking in the outcome ahead of final climatological verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 25?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$43,094 Vol.
$43,094 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$43,094 Vol.
$43,094 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$4,765 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,754 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,100 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,590 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$4,714 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,592 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$10,651 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,077 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,281 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$313 Vol.
No
96°F or higher
$257 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Polymarket's overwhelming consensus on an 82-83°F high for Denver on August 25 stems from verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at official stations, consistent with late-August climatology showing an average high near 86°F. Moderating factors included increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and steering patterns that suppressed peak solar heating compared to earlier August heat episodes exceeding 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal uncertainty. Scenarios that could have challenged it, such as clearer skies or stronger downslope winds boosting readings into the mid-80s or higher, did not materialize, locking in the outcome ahead of final climatological verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$43,094End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Polymarket's overwhelming consensus on an 82-83°F high for Denver on August 25 stems from verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at official stations, consistent with late-August climatology showing an average high near 86°F. Moderating factors included increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and steering patterns that suppressed peak solar heating compared to earlier August heat episodes exceeding 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal uncertainty. Scenarios that could have challenged it, such as clearer skies or stronger downslope winds boosting readings into the mid-80s or higher, did not materialize, locking in the outcome ahead of final climatological verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,094End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Polymarket's overwhelming consensus on an 82-83°F high for Denver on August 25 stems from verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at official stations, consistent with late-August climatology showing an average high near 86°F. Moderating factors included increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and steering patterns that suppressed peak solar heating compared to earlier August heat episodes exceeding 100°F. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this range, leaving minimal uncertainty. Scenarios that could have challenged it, such as clearer skies or stronger downslope winds boosting readings into the mid-80s or higher, did not materialize, locking in the outcome ahead of final climatological verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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