**The near-certain market consensus on a 21°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 24, 2026, reflects official station observations placing the daily high at 21.6°C.** Data from the Amsterdam weather station recorded a minimum of 9.3°C and an average of 15.9°C that day, consistent with the long-term August 24 average high of 21.6°C and a modest negative departure from monthly norms amid a cooling trend after mid-August peaks. This outcome aligns with prevailing easterly flow and clear conditions that limited daytime heating, as captured in real-time model guidance and post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a revised official reading exceeding typical rounding thresholds or a shift in the precise measurement station or criteria used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,002 Vol.
$41,002 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,002 Vol.
$41,002 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$365 Vol.
No
18°C
$224 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,518 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,168 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,801 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$9,852 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,000 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,631 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,678 Vol.
No
26°C
$250 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$515 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain market consensus on a 21°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 24, 2026, reflects official station observations placing the daily high at 21.6°C.** Data from the Amsterdam weather station recorded a minimum of 9.3°C and an average of 15.9°C that day, consistent with the long-term August 24 average high of 21.6°C and a modest negative departure from monthly norms amid a cooling trend after mid-August peaks. This outcome aligns with prevailing easterly flow and clear conditions that limited daytime heating, as captured in real-time model guidance and post-event verification.
Realistic challenges would require a revised official reading exceeding typical rounding thresholds or a shift in the precise measurement station or criteria used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$41,002End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain market consensus on a 21°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 24, 2026, reflects official station observations placing the daily high at 21.6°C.** Data from the Amsterdam weather station recorded a minimum of 9.3°C and an average of 15.9°C that day, consistent with the long-term August 24 average high of 21.6°C and a modest negative departure from monthly norms amid a cooling trend after mid-August peaks. This outcome aligns with prevailing easterly flow and clear conditions that limited daytime heating, as captured in real-time model guidance and post-event verification.
Realistic challenges would require a revised official reading exceeding typical rounding thresholds or a shift in the precise measurement station or criteria used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,002End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**The near-certain market consensus on a 21°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 24, 2026, reflects official station observations placing the daily high at 21.6°C.** Data from the Amsterdam weather station recorded a minimum of 9.3°C and an average of 15.9°C that day, consistent with the long-term August 24 average high of 21.6°C and a modest negative departure from monthly norms amid a cooling trend after mid-August peaks. This outcome aligns with prevailing easterly flow and clear conditions that limited daytime heating, as captured in real-time model guidance and post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a revised official reading exceeding typical rounding thresholds or a shift in the precise measurement station or criteria used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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