Zambia's 2026 presidential election on 13 August featured an expanded register of 8.79 million voters, yet pre-election analyses and historical patterns from 2021's 70.6% turnout pointed to moderation around 55-65% amid economic pressures, lower youth registration, and uneven campaign mobilization. The Electoral Commission of Zambia and independent monitors projected participation in the mid-50s range, reflecting limited surges from either the incumbent UPND or opposition alliances. This consensus shaped trader positioning toward the 50-60% outcome. Extreme shifts above 70% or below 50% would require unprecedented turnout spikes in key provinces or sharp nationwide disengagement tied to unresolved disputes, factors not supported by registration data or observed campaign intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
50-60% 96.0%
60-70% 2.2%
<50% <1%
70-80% <1%
$44,228 Vol.
$44,228 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
<50%
<1%
50-60%
96%
60-70%
2%
70-80%
<1%
80%+
<1%
50-60% 96.0%
60-70% 2.2%
<50% <1%
70-80% <1%
$44,228 Vol.
$44,228 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
<50%
$7,147 Vol.
<1%
50-60%
$11,114 Vol.
96%
60-70%
$14,283 Vol.
2%
70-80%
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
80%+
$5,501 Vol.
<1%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Zambia's 2026 presidential election on 13 August featured an expanded register of 8.79 million voters, yet pre-election analyses and historical patterns from 2021's 70.6% turnout pointed to moderation around 55-65% amid economic pressures, lower youth registration, and uneven campaign mobilization. The Electoral Commission of Zambia and independent monitors projected participation in the mid-50s range, reflecting limited surges from either the incumbent UPND or opposition alliances. This consensus shaped trader positioning toward the 50-60% outcome. Extreme shifts above 70% or below 50% would require unprecedented turnout spikes in key provinces or sharp nationwide disengagement tied to unresolved disputes, factors not supported by registration data or observed campaign intensity.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$44,228End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Zambia's 2026 presidential election on 13 August featured an expanded register of 8.79 million voters, yet pre-election analyses and historical patterns from 2021's 70.6% turnout pointed to moderation around 55-65% amid economic pressures, lower youth registration, and uneven campaign mobilization. The Electoral Commission of Zambia and independent monitors projected participation in the mid-50s range, reflecting limited surges from either the incumbent UPND or opposition alliances. This consensus shaped trader positioning toward the 50-60% outcome. Extreme shifts above 70% or below 50% would require unprecedented turnout spikes in key provinces or sharp nationwide disengagement tied to unresolved disputes, factors not supported by registration data or observed campaign intensity.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$44,228End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zambia's 2026 presidential election on 13 August featured an expanded register of 8.79 million voters, yet pre-election analyses and historical patterns from 2021's 70.6% turnout pointed to moderation around 55-65% amid economic pressures, lower youth registration, and uneven campaign mobilization. The Electoral Commission of Zambia and independent monitors projected participation in the mid-50s range, reflecting limited surges from either the incumbent UPND or opposition alliances. This consensus shaped trader positioning toward the 50-60% outcome. Extreme shifts above 70% or below 50% would require unprecedented turnout spikes in key provinces or sharp nationwide disengagement tied to unresolved disputes, factors not supported by registration data or observed campaign intensity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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