Skip to main content
icon for Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Steven Del Duca 95%

Parveen Bola 5%

Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Steven Del Duca 95%

Parveen Bola 5%

Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Steven Del Duca

Steven Del Duca

$7,255 Vol.

95%

icon for Parveen Bola

Parveen Bola

$125 Vol.

5%

icon for Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli

Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli

$344 Vol.

2%

The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.Steven Del Duca holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the Vaughan mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, following the August 21 nomination deadline that certified only one challenger. His position stems from a first term emphasizing 0% local property tax increases, reduced development charges, infrastructure delivery including hospital and transit projects, and public safety initiatives such as police budget growth and protective bylaws. A late-August announcement of up to $697 million in federal-provincial infrastructure funding alongside Premier Doug Ford further reinforced visibility on affordability and growth priorities. Limited opposition from Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli and lower-profile entrants has consolidated trader consensus around continuity. Late developments including scandals, health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout on key local issues could still alter outcomes before advance voting begins in October.

The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.
Volume
$7,724
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.
The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.Steven Del Duca holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the Vaughan mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, following the August 21 nomination deadline that certified only one challenger. His position stems from a first term emphasizing 0% local property tax increases, reduced development charges, infrastructure delivery including hospital and transit projects, and public safety initiatives such as police budget growth and protective bylaws. A late-August announcement of up to $697 million in federal-provincial infrastructure funding alongside Premier Doug Ford further reinforced visibility on affordability and growth priorities. Limited opposition from Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli and lower-profile entrants has consolidated trader consensus around continuity. Late developments including scandals, health events, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout on key local issues could still alter outcomes before advance voting begins in October.

The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.
Volume
$7,724
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vaughan, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vaughan, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vaughan, Ontario.

Related

icon for Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?

Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?

95%
icon for Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

88%
icon for Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?

Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?

62%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steven Del Duca" at 95%, followed by "Parveen Bola" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Steven Del Duca" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Parveen Bola" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.