The 2026 Ohio gubernatorial race remains tight due to an open seat in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, with nominees Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy trading narrow leads in recent polls rated as a toss-up. Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination after strong primary performance backed by major endorsements and has outspent Acton significantly on advertising to tie her to progressive policies, while highlighting his plans on taxes and regulation. Acton, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former state health director, has positioned herself as a moderate by adopting select Republican stances such as voter ID requirements. Trader consensus around 54-46 in her favor aligns with polling averages showing statistical dead heats and recent momentum shifts, driven by turnout dynamics and campaign intensity ahead of the November 3 general election. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle economic messaging, turnout among key voting blocs, or additional contrasts on property taxes and data centers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$174,069 Vol.
$174,069 Vol.

Amy Acton (D)
55%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
47%
$174,069 Vol.
$174,069 Vol.

Amy Acton (D)
55%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
47%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Ohio gubernatorial race remains tight due to an open seat in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, with nominees Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy trading narrow leads in recent polls rated as a toss-up. Ramaswamy secured the Republican nomination after strong primary performance backed by major endorsements and has outspent Acton significantly on advertising to tie her to progressive policies, while highlighting his plans on taxes and regulation. Acton, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former state health director, has positioned herself as a moderate by adopting select Republican stances such as voter ID requirements. Trader consensus around 54-46 in her favor aligns with polling averages showing statistical dead heats and recent momentum shifts, driven by turnout dynamics and campaign intensity ahead of the November 3 general election. Further separation could emerge from late-cycle economic messaging, turnout among key voting blocs, or additional contrasts on property taxes and data centers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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