Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national services show Milan transitioning to clear, stable conditions on August 29 after Friday thunderstorms, with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are projected mainly between 19–23°C, with some runs indicating slightly lower values near 18°C under optimal clear-sky scenarios. This distribution aligns with the market’s leading 23°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability while sustaining notable volume around 16–20°C bins, reflecting typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and the absence of any strong cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the warm air mass and high-pressure setup that limits further drops below historical late-August norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
23°C or higher 60%
14°C 49%
20°C 49%
22°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
8%
14°C
49%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
43%
23°C or higher
60%
23°C or higher 60%
14°C 49%
20°C 49%
22°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$125 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
49%
15°C
$16 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$10 Vol.
49%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
43%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national services show Milan transitioning to clear, stable conditions on August 29 after Friday thunderstorms, with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are projected mainly between 19–23°C, with some runs indicating slightly lower values near 18°C under optimal clear-sky scenarios. This distribution aligns with the market’s leading 23°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability while sustaining notable volume around 16–20°C bins, reflecting typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and the absence of any strong cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the warm air mass and high-pressure setup that limits further drops below historical late-August norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$171End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national services show Milan transitioning to clear, stable conditions on August 29 after Friday thunderstorms, with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are projected mainly between 19–23°C, with some runs indicating slightly lower values near 18°C under optimal clear-sky scenarios. This distribution aligns with the market’s leading 23°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability while sustaining notable volume around 16–20°C bins, reflecting typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and the absence of any strong cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the warm air mass and high-pressure setup that limits further drops below historical late-August norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national services show Milan transitioning to clear, stable conditions on August 29 after Friday thunderstorms, with light westerly winds and dew points near 15–17°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. Minimum temperatures are projected mainly between 19–23°C, with some runs indicating slightly lower values near 18°C under optimal clear-sky scenarios. This distribution aligns with the market’s leading 23°C-or-higher outcome at 42% implied probability while sustaining notable volume around 16–20°C bins, reflecting typical ensemble spread in boundary-layer cooling and the absence of any strong cold-air advection. Traders are weighting the warm air mass and high-pressure setup that limits further drops below historical late-August norms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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