Forecast models project overnight lows in Guangzhou for August 30 near the historical average of 25°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and light variable winds from the southeast or northeast are key variables keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 24-27°C, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities to those outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spreads in precipitation timing that could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would favor cooler readings closer to 23°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
22°C or below 55%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
43%
22°C or below 55%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models project overnight lows in Guangzhou for August 30 near the historical average of 25°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and light variable winds from the southeast or northeast are key variables keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 24-27°C, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities to those outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spreads in precipitation timing that could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would favor cooler readings closer to 23°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models project overnight lows in Guangzhou for August 30 near the historical average of 25°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and light variable winds from the southeast or northeast are key variables keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 24-27°C, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities to those outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spreads in precipitation timing that could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would favor cooler readings closer to 23°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models project overnight lows in Guangzhou for August 30 near the historical average of 25°C amid persistent monsoon moisture, high humidity near 80-90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and light variable winds from the southeast or northeast are key variables keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 24-27°C, with traders assigning nearly equal implied probabilities to those outcomes. Recent model runs show minor spreads in precipitation timing that could shift the exact low by 1-2°C, while stronger winds or clearer skies would favor cooler readings closer to 23°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will refine these atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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