Official National Weather Service observations and Central Park station data for August 23, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 82.4°F and pre-event model consensus under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow. Absent any warm advection, heat dome, or frontal passages that could drive deviations, surface conditions and historical analogs for the date limited upside potential, keeping values tightly clustered in the low 80s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this convergence of verified measurements and forecast guidance, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized sensor discrepancies able to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$99,280 Vol.
$99,280 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$99,280 Vol.
$99,280 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$753 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,251 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$11,358 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,725 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,983 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$28,134 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$18,637 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$15,052 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,394 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$353 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$639 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and Central Park station data for August 23, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 82.4°F and pre-event model consensus under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow. Absent any warm advection, heat dome, or frontal passages that could drive deviations, surface conditions and historical analogs for the date limited upside potential, keeping values tightly clustered in the low 80s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this convergence of verified measurements and forecast guidance, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized sensor discrepancies able to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$99,280End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and Central Park station data for August 23, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 82.4°F and pre-event model consensus under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow. Absent any warm advection, heat dome, or frontal passages that could drive deviations, surface conditions and historical analogs for the date limited upside potential, keeping values tightly clustered in the low 80s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this convergence of verified measurements and forecast guidance, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized sensor discrepancies able to alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,280End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations and Central Park station data for August 23, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 82–83°F, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 82.4°F and pre-event model consensus under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly flow. Absent any warm advection, heat dome, or frontal passages that could drive deviations, surface conditions and historical analogs for the date limited upside potential, keeping values tightly clustered in the low 80s. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this convergence of verified measurements and forecast guidance, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized sensor discrepancies able to alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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