Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations, including those monitored by NOAA, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 25, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with regional atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer heat buildup without significant frontal passages or convective cooling. Historical climatology for the period shows similar highs around 95–98°F as a baseline, with model reanalyses and surface data reinforcing the reading. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly exceeding 97°F, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$34,828 Vol.
$34,828 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$34,828 Vol.
$34,828 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$679 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$481 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$6,477 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$14,335 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$5,073 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$3,709 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,277 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,789 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$455 Vol.
No
108°F or higher
$314 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations, including those monitored by NOAA, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 25, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with regional atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer heat buildup without significant frontal passages or convective cooling. Historical climatology for the period shows similar highs around 95–98°F as a baseline, with model reanalyses and surface data reinforcing the reading. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly exceeding 97°F, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$34,828End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations, including those monitored by NOAA, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 25, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with regional atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer heat buildup without significant frontal passages or convective cooling. Historical climatology for the period shows similar highs around 95–98°F as a baseline, with model reanalyses and surface data reinforcing the reading. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly exceeding 97°F, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,828End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations, including those monitored by NOAA, recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 25, driving the near-certain market consensus. This aligns with regional atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer heat buildup without significant frontal passages or convective cooling. Historical climatology for the period shows similar highs around 95–98°F as a baseline, with model reanalyses and surface data reinforcing the reading. A realistic challenge would require revised station data or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly exceeding 97°F, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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