**Trader consensus has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from regional monitoring stations.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions under easterly flow produced afternoon peaks near this threshold, consistent with model guidance and climatological norms for late August (average high around 21–22°C). Real-time measurements, including those near Schiphol, recorded a maximum of approximately 25°C with no subsequent readings exceeding this value as the day concluded. Market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C align with this skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data. Resolution could shift only under rare post-processing revisions or station-specific adjustments, though such changes are uncommon once the diurnal cycle ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,434 Vol.
$36,434 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,434 Vol.
$36,434 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$731 Vol.
No
21°C
$724 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,937 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,071 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,115 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,804 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,589 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,953 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,334 Vol.
No
29°C
$994 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,182 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from regional monitoring stations.**
Clear to partly cloudy conditions under easterly flow produced afternoon peaks near this threshold, consistent with model guidance and climatological norms for late August (average high around 21–22°C). Real-time measurements, including those near Schiphol, recorded a maximum of approximately 25°C with no subsequent readings exceeding this value as the day concluded. Market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C align with this skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data. Resolution could shift only under rare post-processing revisions or station-specific adjustments, though such changes are uncommon once the diurnal cycle ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$36,434End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from regional monitoring stations.**
Clear to partly cloudy conditions under easterly flow produced afternoon peaks near this threshold, consistent with model guidance and climatological norms for late August (average high around 21–22°C). Real-time measurements, including those near Schiphol, recorded a maximum of approximately 25°C with no subsequent readings exceeding this value as the day concluded. Market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C align with this skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data. Resolution could shift only under rare post-processing revisions or station-specific adjustments, though such changes are uncommon once the diurnal cycle ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,434End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from regional monitoring stations.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions under easterly flow produced afternoon peaks near this threshold, consistent with model guidance and climatological norms for late August (average high around 21–22°C). Real-time measurements, including those near Schiphol, recorded a maximum of approximately 25°C with no subsequent readings exceeding this value as the day concluded. Market-implied odds at 100% for 25°C align with this skin-in-the-game assessment of official station data. Resolution could shift only under rare post-processing revisions or station-specific adjustments, though such changes are uncommon once the diurnal cycle ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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