**Forecast consensus from models and observational data positions 24°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's minimum on August 26.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 24°C amid mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity (80-95%) that limits further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where the typical low hovers around 24-25°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or anomalous heat/moisture transport to push temperatures lower (toward 23°C or below) or higher. Traders' heavy weighting on 24°C reflects this tight convergence and the market's close proximity to resolution, as the overnight minimum window is now largely determined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
24°C 99.5%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 9%
$3,372 Vol.
$3,372 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 99.5%
22°C 19%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 9%
$3,372 Vol.
$3,372 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$263 Vol.
No
21°C
$215 Vol.
No
22°C
$149 Vol.
No
23°C
$89 Vol.
No
24°C
$957 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$343 Vol.
No
26°C
$164 Vol.
No
27°C
$72 Vol.
No
28°C
$40 Vol.
No
29°C
$890 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$190 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and observational data positions 24°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's minimum on August 26.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 24°C amid mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity (80-95%) that limits further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where the typical low hovers around 24-25°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or anomalous heat/moisture transport to push temperatures lower (toward 23°C or below) or higher. Traders' heavy weighting on 24°C reflects this tight convergence and the market's close proximity to resolution, as the overnight minimum window is now largely determined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,372End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and observational data positions 24°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's minimum on August 26.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 24°C amid mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity (80-95%) that limits further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where the typical low hovers around 24-25°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or anomalous heat/moisture transport to push temperatures lower (toward 23°C or below) or higher. Traders' heavy weighting on 24°C reflects this tight convergence and the market's close proximity to resolution, as the overnight minimum window is now largely determined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,372End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Forecast consensus from models and observational data positions 24°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv's minimum on August 26.** Multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and local Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 24°C amid mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and high humidity (80-95%) that limits further radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, where the typical low hovers around 24-25°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or anomalous heat/moisture transport to push temperatures lower (toward 23°C or below) or higher. Traders' heavy weighting on 24°C reflects this tight convergence and the market's close proximity to resolution, as the overnight minimum window is now largely determined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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