Recent short-range forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service show Tel Aviv highs on August 29 clustered between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme heat. This consensus aligns with climatological August averages near 30–31 °C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (29 %) and 33 °C (53 %). Minor model spread—some ECMWF/GFS runs briefly touching 33–34 °C inland or during peak afternoon heating—supports the smaller 34 °C share, while the low probability of 35 °C+ reflects the absence of strong subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs and official IMS guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
33°C 53%
32°C 29%
34°C 12%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
29%
33°C
53%
34°C
12%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
4%
33°C 53%
32°C 29%
34°C 12%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$86 Vol.
29%
33°C
$91 Vol.
53%
34°C
$14 Vol.
12%
35°C
$14 Vol.
6%
36°C
$5 Vol.
2%
37°C
$5 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service show Tel Aviv highs on August 29 clustered between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme heat. This consensus aligns with climatological August averages near 30–31 °C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (29 %) and 33 °C (53 %). Minor model spread—some ECMWF/GFS runs briefly touching 33–34 °C inland or during peak afternoon heating—supports the smaller 34 °C share, while the low probability of 35 °C+ reflects the absence of strong subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs and official IMS guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$241End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service show Tel Aviv highs on August 29 clustered between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme heat. This consensus aligns with climatological August averages near 30–31 °C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (29 %) and 33 °C (53 %). Minor model spread—some ECMWF/GFS runs briefly touching 33–34 °C inland or during peak afternoon heating—supports the smaller 34 °C share, while the low probability of 35 °C+ reflects the absence of strong subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs and official IMS guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$241End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from global models and the Israel Meteorological Service show Tel Aviv highs on August 29 clustered between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate southwest winds, and typical late-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme heat. This consensus aligns with climatological August averages near 30–31 °C and explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (29 %) and 33 °C (53 %). Minor model spread—some ECMWF/GFS runs briefly touching 33–34 °C inland or during peak afternoon heating—supports the smaller 34 °C share, while the low probability of 35 °C+ reflects the absence of strong subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs and official IMS guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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