**Forecast consensus for Tel Aviv on August 28 points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s°C under stable late-summer conditions.** Multiple models, including outputs from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate afternoon maxima around 30–32°C (roughly 86–90°F), with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with typical August climatology for the coastal plain, where daytime heating peaks under high pressure without strong advection or sea-breeze moderation pushing extremes. Trader positioning—67% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 32°C and 34°C—reflects this narrow range, as slight variations in model timing or local measurement (official station at Ben Gurion or Tel Aviv proper) can shift the exact peak by 1°C. No recent heat-wave alerts or rapid model shifts have emerged in the last 24–48 hours to widen the distribution, keeping odds concentrated near the historical late-August average while acknowledging minor forecast uncertainty inherent in 24-hour outlooks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
33°C 67%
34°C 15%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
67%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 67%
34°C 15%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
29°C or below
$450 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$271 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,130 Vol.
14%
33°C
$1,286 Vol.
67%
34°C
$654 Vol.
15%
35°C
$255 Vol.
2%
36°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Tel Aviv on August 28 points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s°C under stable late-summer conditions.** Multiple models, including outputs from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate afternoon maxima around 30–32°C (roughly 86–90°F), with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with typical August climatology for the coastal plain, where daytime heating peaks under high pressure without strong advection or sea-breeze moderation pushing extremes.
Trader positioning—67% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 32°C and 34°C—reflects this narrow range, as slight variations in model timing or local measurement (official station at Ben Gurion or Tel Aviv proper) can shift the exact peak by 1°C. No recent heat-wave alerts or rapid model shifts have emerged in the last 24–48 hours to widen the distribution, keeping odds concentrated near the historical late-August average while acknowledging minor forecast uncertainty inherent in 24-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,179End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Tel Aviv on August 28 points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s°C under stable late-summer conditions.** Multiple models, including outputs from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate afternoon maxima around 30–32°C (roughly 86–90°F), with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with typical August climatology for the coastal plain, where daytime heating peaks under high pressure without strong advection or sea-breeze moderation pushing extremes.
Trader positioning—67% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 32°C and 34°C—reflects this narrow range, as slight variations in model timing or local measurement (official station at Ben Gurion or Tel Aviv proper) can shift the exact peak by 1°C. No recent heat-wave alerts or rapid model shifts have emerged in the last 24–48 hours to widen the distribution, keeping odds concentrated near the historical late-August average while acknowledging minor forecast uncertainty inherent in 24-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,179End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Tel Aviv on August 28 points to a daily high in the low-to-mid 30s°C under stable late-summer conditions.** Multiple models, including outputs from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, indicate afternoon maxima around 30–32°C (roughly 86–90°F), with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions align with typical August climatology for the coastal plain, where daytime heating peaks under high pressure without strong advection or sea-breeze moderation pushing extremes. Trader positioning—67% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 32°C and 34°C—reflects this narrow range, as slight variations in model timing or local measurement (official station at Ben Gurion or Tel Aviv proper) can shift the exact peak by 1°C. No recent heat-wave alerts or rapid model shifts have emerged in the last 24–48 hours to widen the distribution, keeping odds concentrated near the historical late-August average while acknowledging minor forecast uncertainty inherent in 24-hour outlooks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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