**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
24°C 1%
$3,581 Vol.
$3,581 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 99.5%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
24°C 1%
$3,581 Vol.
$3,581 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$1,515 Vol.
No
20°C
$450 Vol.
No
21°C
$101 Vol.
No
22°C
$77 Vol.
No
23°C
$43 Vol.
No
24°C
$213 Vol.
No
25°C
$308 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$106 Vol.
No
27°C
$100 Vol.
No
28°C
$278 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$390 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,581End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,581End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies overnight have driven the strong market consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28.** Official forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with late-August climatological norms of around 24–25°C. High daytime humidity and sea-breeze moderation have limited further cooling, keeping the expected floor near this threshold. The 95.5% implied probability reflects this model agreement and recent stability in observations. Only significant unexpected changes, such as increased wind or unforecast cloud cover enhancing radiative cooling, would realistically shift the recorded low below 24°C or above 26°C before final station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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