Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 29 likely ranging from the low 20s°C to near 26°C, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to persistent humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from a nearby trough. This uncertainty, combined with the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-20s outcomes. Historical August minima average near 23–25°C, but small shifts in forecast wind speed or dew points could alter the recorded low by 2–3°C before resolution, explaining why no single bin exceeds 35% consensus among traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
28°C or higher 69%
18°C or below 58%
26°C 26%
21°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
58%
19°C
19%
20°C
2%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C or higher
69%
28°C or higher 69%
18°C or below 58%
26°C 26%
21°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
58%
19°C
$5 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$10 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 29 likely ranging from the low 20s°C to near 26°C, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to persistent humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from a nearby trough. This uncertainty, combined with the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-20s outcomes. Historical August minima average near 23–25°C, but small shifts in forecast wind speed or dew points could alter the recorded low by 2–3°C before resolution, explaining why no single bin exceeds 35% consensus among traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 29 likely ranging from the low 20s°C to near 26°C, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to persistent humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from a nearby trough. This uncertainty, combined with the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-20s outcomes. Historical August minima average near 23–25°C, but small shifts in forecast wind speed or dew points could alter the recorded low by 2–3°C before resolution, explaining why no single bin exceeds 35% consensus among traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on August 29 likely ranging from the low 20s°C to near 26°C, with limited overnight radiative cooling due to persistent humidity, light southerly winds, and variable cloud cover from a nearby trough. This uncertainty, combined with the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around mid-20s outcomes. Historical August minima average near 23–25°C, but small shifts in forecast wind speed or dew points could alter the recorded low by 2–3°C before resolution, explaining why no single bin exceeds 35% consensus among traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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