Multiple weather models and official forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, converge on a maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and typical late-summer subsidence that limits stronger daytime heating. This aligns with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and climatological averages of 30–32°C for the date, producing the market’s 94.5% implied probability for 33°C. Minor upward or downward shifts remain possible if afternoon cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than expected, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the narrow 32–34°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
33°C 97%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$21,899 Vol.
$21,899 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
97%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 97%
34°C 3%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$21,899 Vol.
$21,899 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
29°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,601 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,738 Vol.
97%
34°C
$3,640 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,983 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,556 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and official forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, converge on a maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and typical late-summer subsidence that limits stronger daytime heating. This aligns with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and climatological averages of 30–32°C for the date, producing the market’s 94.5% implied probability for 33°C. Minor upward or downward shifts remain possible if afternoon cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than expected, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the narrow 32–34°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,899End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and official forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, converge on a maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and typical late-summer subsidence that limits stronger daytime heating. This aligns with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and climatological averages of 30–32°C for the date, producing the market’s 94.5% implied probability for 33°C. Minor upward or downward shifts remain possible if afternoon cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than expected, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the narrow 32–34°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,899End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple weather models and official forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 27, 2026, converge on a maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and typical late-summer subsidence that limits stronger daytime heating. This aligns with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and climatological averages of 30–32°C for the date, producing the market’s 94.5% implied probability for 33°C. Minor upward or downward shifts remain possible if afternoon cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than expected, though current observational trends and model consensus indicate low likelihood of extremes outside the narrow 32–34°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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