Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major models such as GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Incheon stabilizing near 25°C on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light variable winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This aligns with observed conditions where temperatures have held steady between 25–27°C through the night, consistent with above-average August patterns featuring tropical night conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if clearer skies develop late in the evening or if localized sea-breeze effects intensify unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$14,874 Vol.
$14,874 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$14,874 Vol.
$14,874 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$978 Vol.
No
22°C
$778 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,003 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,428 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,267 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$2,601 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,262 Vol.
No
28°C
$317 Vol.
No
29°C
$796 Vol.
No
30°C
$246 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$198 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major models such as GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Incheon stabilizing near 25°C on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light variable winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This aligns with observed conditions where temperatures have held steady between 25–27°C through the night, consistent with above-average August patterns featuring tropical night conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if clearer skies develop late in the evening or if localized sea-breeze effects intensify unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$14,874End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major models such as GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Incheon stabilizing near 25°C on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light variable winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This aligns with observed conditions where temperatures have held steady between 25–27°C through the night, consistent with above-average August patterns featuring tropical night conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if clearer skies develop late in the evening or if localized sea-breeze effects intensify unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,874End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and major models such as GFS and ECMWF show the overnight low in Incheon stabilizing near 25°C on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light variable winds that prevent significant temperature drops. This aligns with observed conditions where temperatures have held steady between 25–27°C through the night, consistent with above-average August patterns featuring tropical night conditions. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though minor downward revisions remain possible if clearer skies develop late in the evening or if localized sea-breeze effects intensify unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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