Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Munich on August 25 rests on consistent observational data from Munich International Airport and regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light southerly winds. Multiple forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service align on 12–14°C ranges, with 13°C as the precise recorded or expected floor amid mild advection and no significant cold-air intrusion. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving the market, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final station reporting adjustments. Upcoming verification of the daily minimum will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$4,570 Vol.
$4,570 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$4,570 Vol.
$4,570 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$313 Vol.
No
9°C
$115 Vol.
No
10°C
$297 Vol.
No
11°C
$109 Vol.
No
12°C
$200 Vol.
No
13°C
$414 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$529 Vol.
No
15°C
$358 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,587 Vol.
No
17°C
$392 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$256 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Munich on August 25 rests on consistent observational data from Munich International Airport and regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light southerly winds. Multiple forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service align on 12–14°C ranges, with 13°C as the precise recorded or expected floor amid mild advection and no significant cold-air intrusion. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving the market, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final station reporting adjustments. Upcoming verification of the daily minimum will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,570End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Munich on August 25 rests on consistent observational data from Munich International Airport and regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light southerly winds. Multiple forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service align on 12–14°C ranges, with 13°C as the precise recorded or expected floor amid mild advection and no significant cold-air intrusion. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving the market, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final station reporting adjustments. Upcoming verification of the daily minimum will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,570End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 13°C low for Munich on August 25 rests on consistent observational data from Munich International Airport and regional models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that threshold under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light southerly winds. Multiple forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service align on 12–14°C ranges, with 13°C as the precise recorded or expected floor amid mild advection and no significant cold-air intrusion. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in official measurements resolving the market, though minor deviations could arise from localized urban heat effects or final station reporting adjustments. Upcoming verification of the daily minimum will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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