Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a post-rain clearing trend over Beijing, with August 28 featuring overcast skies and lighter highs near 22–26°C that set up moderate overnight radiative cooling. Consensus low temperatures for the night of August 29 center near 19°C under mostly clear conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with historical late-August norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–20°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or lingering moisture would limit further drops. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
19°C 45%
18°C 45%
20°C 38%
24°C or higher 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
38%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
29%
19°C 45%
18°C 45%
20°C 38%
24°C or higher 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
15°C
$6 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$75 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a post-rain clearing trend over Beijing, with August 28 featuring overcast skies and lighter highs near 22–26°C that set up moderate overnight radiative cooling. Consensus low temperatures for the night of August 29 center near 19°C under mostly clear conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with historical late-August norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–20°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or lingering moisture would limit further drops. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a post-rain clearing trend over Beijing, with August 28 featuring overcast skies and lighter highs near 22–26°C that set up moderate overnight radiative cooling. Consensus low temperatures for the night of August 29 center near 19°C under mostly clear conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with historical late-August norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–20°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or lingering moisture would limit further drops. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a post-rain clearing trend over Beijing, with August 28 featuring overcast skies and lighter highs near 22–26°C that set up moderate overnight radiative cooling. Consensus low temperatures for the night of August 29 center near 19°C under mostly clear conditions, light northwesterly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with historical late-August norms around 19–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 18–20°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or urban heat retention could shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or lingering moisture would limit further drops. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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