**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cool northwest airflow kept Munich's peak temperature capped at 17°C on August 25, 2026.** Official forecasts and station reports (including Munich airport data) consistently showed morning readings around 12–14°C rising only modestly under overcast skies, with daytime highs limited to 16–19°C and many sources pinpointing the maximum near 17°C amid steady westerly winds and high humidity. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting real-time aggregation of observations rather than long-range models. The outcome stands well below late-August climatological averages (~23°C), driven by a transient cool, moist air mass rather than typical summer warmth. Resolution hinges on the highest verified reading from authoritative stations; while microclimate variations or late-day clearing could theoretically shift the exact value by 1°C, current data show negligible chance of exceeding the 17°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 25?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,584 Vol.
$141,584 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,584 Vol.
$141,584 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$99 Vol.
No
14°C
$99 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,406 Vol.
No
16°C
$28,865 Vol.
No
17°C
$17,811 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$14,002 Vol.
No
19°C
$18,242 Vol.
No
20°C
$17,556 Vol.
No
21°C
$12,324 Vol.
No
22°C
$12,902 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$16,278 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cool northwest airflow kept Munich's peak temperature capped at 17°C on August 25, 2026.** Official forecasts and station reports (including Munich airport data) consistently showed morning readings around 12–14°C rising only modestly under overcast skies, with daytime highs limited to 16–19°C and many sources pinpointing the maximum near 17°C amid steady westerly winds and high humidity. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting real-time aggregation of observations rather than long-range models.
The outcome stands well below late-August climatological averages (~23°C), driven by a transient cool, moist air mass rather than typical summer warmth. Resolution hinges on the highest verified reading from authoritative stations; while microclimate variations or late-day clearing could theoretically shift the exact value by 1°C, current data show negligible chance of exceeding the 17°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$141,584End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cool northwest airflow kept Munich's peak temperature capped at 17°C on August 25, 2026.** Official forecasts and station reports (including Munich airport data) consistently showed morning readings around 12–14°C rising only modestly under overcast skies, with daytime highs limited to 16–19°C and many sources pinpointing the maximum near 17°C amid steady westerly winds and high humidity. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting real-time aggregation of observations rather than long-range models.
The outcome stands well below late-August climatological averages (~23°C), driven by a transient cool, moist air mass rather than typical summer warmth. Resolution hinges on the highest verified reading from authoritative stations; while microclimate variations or late-day clearing could theoretically shift the exact value by 1°C, current data show negligible chance of exceeding the 17°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141,584End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cool northwest airflow kept Munich's peak temperature capped at 17°C on August 25, 2026.** Official forecasts and station reports (including Munich airport data) consistently showed morning readings around 12–14°C rising only modestly under overcast skies, with daytime highs limited to 16–19°C and many sources pinpointing the maximum near 17°C amid steady westerly winds and high humidity. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting real-time aggregation of observations rather than long-range models. The outcome stands well below late-August climatological averages (~23°C), driven by a transient cool, moist air mass rather than typical summer warmth. Resolution hinges on the highest verified reading from authoritative stations; while microclimate variations or late-day clearing could theoretically shift the exact value by 1°C, current data show negligible chance of exceeding the 17°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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