**The market-implied odds heavily favor 92-93°F (99.9%) for Miami’s highest temperature on August 25, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation of a 92°F maximum at Miami International Airport around 1:50 PM local time.** This value sat 2°F above the 1991–2020 daily normal high of 90°F and aligned with typical late-August conditions featuring daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that prevented further warming. Historical context shows August 25 highs averaging 90.6°F with an all-time record of 94°F, so the observed reading fell squarely within the expected envelope without triggering an extreme heat episode. Trader consensus formed around verified station data rather than forecasts, as the date had passed and resolution relied on authoritative climatological reports. Minor uncertainty (0.1% on adjacent bins) accounts for possible rounding differences or secondary station readings, though NWS Miami data provides the primary benchmark. A shift would require documented revisions to the official maximum or an alternative resolution source, both improbable given the clear observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 99.9%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$134,753 Vol.
$134,753 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 99.9%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$134,753 Vol.
$134,753 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
$205 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$442 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,524 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$6,344 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,046 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$66,852 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$39,460 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$4,513 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$5,123 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,828 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market-implied odds heavily favor 92-93°F (99.9%) for Miami’s highest temperature on August 25, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation of a 92°F maximum at Miami International Airport around 1:50 PM local time.** This value sat 2°F above the 1991–2020 daily normal high of 90°F and aligned with typical late-August conditions featuring daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that prevented further warming. Historical context shows August 25 highs averaging 90.6°F with an all-time record of 94°F, so the observed reading fell squarely within the expected envelope without triggering an extreme heat episode.
Trader consensus formed around verified station data rather than forecasts, as the date had passed and resolution relied on authoritative climatological reports. Minor uncertainty (0.1% on adjacent bins) accounts for possible rounding differences or secondary station readings, though NWS Miami data provides the primary benchmark. A shift would require documented revisions to the official maximum or an alternative resolution source, both improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$134,753End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market-implied odds heavily favor 92-93°F (99.9%) for Miami’s highest temperature on August 25, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation of a 92°F maximum at Miami International Airport around 1:50 PM local time.** This value sat 2°F above the 1991–2020 daily normal high of 90°F and aligned with typical late-August conditions featuring daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that prevented further warming. Historical context shows August 25 highs averaging 90.6°F with an all-time record of 94°F, so the observed reading fell squarely within the expected envelope without triggering an extreme heat episode.
Trader consensus formed around verified station data rather than forecasts, as the date had passed and resolution relied on authoritative climatological reports. Minor uncertainty (0.1% on adjacent bins) accounts for possible rounding differences or secondary station readings, though NWS Miami data provides the primary benchmark. A shift would require documented revisions to the official maximum or an alternative resolution source, both improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$134,753End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**The market-implied odds heavily favor 92-93°F (99.9%) for Miami’s highest temperature on August 25, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation of a 92°F maximum at Miami International Airport around 1:50 PM local time.** This value sat 2°F above the 1991–2020 daily normal high of 90°F and aligned with typical late-August conditions featuring daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that prevented further warming. Historical context shows August 25 highs averaging 90.6°F with an all-time record of 94°F, so the observed reading fell squarely within the expected envelope without triggering an extreme heat episode. Trader consensus formed around verified station data rather than forecasts, as the date had passed and resolution relied on authoritative climatological reports. Minor uncertainty (0.1% on adjacent bins) accounts for possible rounding differences or secondary station readings, though NWS Miami data provides the primary benchmark. A shift would require documented revisions to the official maximum or an alternative resolution source, both improbable given the clear observational record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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