Trader consensus at 99.6% for a Los Angeles high of 91°F or below on August 23, 2026, reflects the strong moderating influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow at coastal stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently projected afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under typical late-summer stratus and sea-breeze patterns, well below the 91°F threshold even as an inland heatwave developed. Historical climatology for the date shows average KLAX highs near 77°F, with marine-layer suppression rarely allowing coastal readings to approach 90°F during similar synoptic setups. The only realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome involve an unexpected offshore wind event or rapid marine-layer erosion, neither of which appeared in updated model runs or observational data ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 100.0%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$10,932 Vol.
$10,932 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
91°F or below 100.0%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$10,932 Vol.
$10,932 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$1,734 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$873 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$4,070 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,296 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$382 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$977 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$162 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$172 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$176 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$891 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$199 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 99.6% for a Los Angeles high of 91°F or below on August 23, 2026, reflects the strong moderating influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow at coastal stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently projected afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under typical late-summer stratus and sea-breeze patterns, well below the 91°F threshold even as an inland heatwave developed. Historical climatology for the date shows average KLAX highs near 77°F, with marine-layer suppression rarely allowing coastal readings to approach 90°F during similar synoptic setups. The only realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome involve an unexpected offshore wind event or rapid marine-layer erosion, neither of which appeared in updated model runs or observational data ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$10,932End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 99.6% for a Los Angeles high of 91°F or below on August 23, 2026, reflects the strong moderating influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow at coastal stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently projected afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under typical late-summer stratus and sea-breeze patterns, well below the 91°F threshold even as an inland heatwave developed. Historical climatology for the date shows average KLAX highs near 77°F, with marine-layer suppression rarely allowing coastal readings to approach 90°F during similar synoptic setups. The only realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome involve an unexpected offshore wind event or rapid marine-layer erosion, neither of which appeared in updated model runs or observational data ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,932End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus at 99.6% for a Los Angeles high of 91°F or below on August 23, 2026, reflects the strong moderating influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow at coastal stations such as KLAX. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models consistently projected afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s under typical late-summer stratus and sea-breeze patterns, well below the 91°F threshold even as an inland heatwave developed. Historical climatology for the date shows average KLAX highs near 77°F, with marine-layer suppression rarely allowing coastal readings to approach 90°F during similar synoptic setups. The only realistic scenarios that could challenge this outcome involve an unexpected offshore wind event or rapid marine-layer erosion, neither of which appeared in updated model runs or observational data ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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