Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. Official model guidance shows temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with peak readings aligning precisely at this threshold based on recent surface observations and ensemble outputs. Historical August averages for the region hover near 30–31°C, so this elevated value reflects a notable heat anomaly driven by subtropical air advection. Market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these data, though late-day shifts in wind patterns or localized sea-breeze effects could still nudge the final recorded high slightly lower or higher before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 25?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,107 Vol.
$28,107 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,107 Vol.
$28,107 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$111 Vol.
No
30°C
$269 Vol.
No
31°C
$98 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,236 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,260 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,405 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,410 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$4,988 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,646 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,217 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$468 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. Official model guidance shows temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with peak readings aligning precisely at this threshold based on recent surface observations and ensemble outputs. Historical August averages for the region hover near 30–31°C, so this elevated value reflects a notable heat anomaly driven by subtropical air advection. Market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these data, though late-day shifts in wind patterns or localized sea-breeze effects could still nudge the final recorded high slightly lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$28,107End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. Official model guidance shows temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with peak readings aligning precisely at this threshold based on recent surface observations and ensemble outputs. Historical August averages for the region hover near 30–31°C, so this elevated value reflects a notable heat anomaly driven by subtropical air advection. Market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these data, though late-day shifts in wind patterns or localized sea-breeze effects could still nudge the final recorded high slightly lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,107End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum of 35°C on August 25 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. Official model guidance shows temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, with peak readings aligning precisely at this threshold based on recent surface observations and ensemble outputs. Historical August averages for the region hover near 30–31°C, so this elevated value reflects a notable heat anomaly driven by subtropical air advection. Market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 35°C incorporates real-time trader assessment of these data, though late-day shifts in wind patterns or localized sea-breeze effects could still nudge the final recorded high slightly lower or higher before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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