**H200 rental prices at end-2026 reflect a balance between rising Blackwell supply and sustained AI demand.** Current on-demand rates average $3.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour on neocloud and marketplace providers (spot often $2–$3), with hyperscalers charging $7–$10+, driven by the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth suited for memory-intensive LLM inference and fine-tuning. Blackwell B200/GB200 deployments add higher-performance alternatives with 192 GB+ capacity, pressuring older Hopper inventory downward, yet H200 benefits from easier air-cooled deployment in existing facilities and a large installed base. Limited China exports and persistent HBM/CoWoS constraints support a floor, while Rubin ramp and enterprise migration could widen spreads. Traders see the $4.00–$5.00 cluster as the most likely equilibrium given these offsetting forces.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.4%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 10.9%
$17,114 Vol.
$17,114 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
5%
$2.50-$3.00
4%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
15%
$4.00-$4.50
20%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50-$6.00
11%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
1%
$7.50+
3%
$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.4%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 10.9%
$17,114 Vol.
$17,114 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
$512 Vol.
5%
$2.50-$3.00
$692 Vol.
4%
$3.00-$3.50
$649 Vol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00
$2,523 Vol.
15%
$4.00-$4.50
$5,918 Vol.
20%
$4.50-$5.00
$525 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,166 Vol.
11%
$5.50-$6.00
$1,944 Vol.
11%
$6.00-$6.50
$721 Vol.
6%
$6.50-$7.00
$588 Vol.
4%
$7.00-$7.50
$451 Vol.
1%
$7.50+
$427 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**H200 rental prices at end-2026 reflect a balance between rising Blackwell supply and sustained AI demand.** Current on-demand rates average $3.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour on neocloud and marketplace providers (spot often $2–$3), with hyperscalers charging $7–$10+, driven by the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth suited for memory-intensive LLM inference and fine-tuning. Blackwell B200/GB200 deployments add higher-performance alternatives with 192 GB+ capacity, pressuring older Hopper inventory downward, yet H200 benefits from easier air-cooled deployment in existing facilities and a large installed base. Limited China exports and persistent HBM/CoWoS constraints support a floor, while Rubin ramp and enterprise migration could widen spreads. Traders see the $4.00–$5.00 cluster as the most likely equilibrium given these offsetting forces.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$17,114End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**H200 rental prices at end-2026 reflect a balance between rising Blackwell supply and sustained AI demand.** Current on-demand rates average $3.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour on neocloud and marketplace providers (spot often $2–$3), with hyperscalers charging $7–$10+, driven by the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth suited for memory-intensive LLM inference and fine-tuning. Blackwell B200/GB200 deployments add higher-performance alternatives with 192 GB+ capacity, pressuring older Hopper inventory downward, yet H200 benefits from easier air-cooled deployment in existing facilities and a large installed base. Limited China exports and persistent HBM/CoWoS constraints support a floor, while Rubin ramp and enterprise migration could widen spreads. Traders see the $4.00–$5.00 cluster as the most likely equilibrium given these offsetting forces.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$17,114End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**H200 rental prices at end-2026 reflect a balance between rising Blackwell supply and sustained AI demand.** Current on-demand rates average $3.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour on neocloud and marketplace providers (spot often $2–$3), with hyperscalers charging $7–$10+, driven by the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth suited for memory-intensive LLM inference and fine-tuning. Blackwell B200/GB200 deployments add higher-performance alternatives with 192 GB+ capacity, pressuring older Hopper inventory downward, yet H200 benefits from easier air-cooled deployment in existing facilities and a large installed base. Limited China exports and persistent HBM/CoWoS constraints support a floor, while Rubin ramp and enterprise migration could widen spreads. Traders see the $4.00–$5.00 cluster as the most likely equilibrium given these offsetting forces.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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