Recent reports of Anthropic preparing a public S-1 filing imminently, following its confidential June 2026 submission, have driven strong trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 73% implied probability. The company’s $65 billion Series H round, $965 billion valuation, and projected $190–200 billion 2028 revenue underpin banker discussions with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley for a potential record-sized listing near $2 trillion. Traders view the procedural clock from the confidential filing—typically three to six months—as aligning with an October Nasdaq window, especially amid robust AI investor demand and OpenAI’s shift toward 2027. September remains a secondary possibility at 14% if public filing accelerates, while later 2026 or 2027 outcomes reflect typical slippage risks from SEC review or market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOctober 2026 73%
September 2026 14%
November 2026 4.3%
December 2026 2.8%
$76,876 Vol.
$76,876 Vol.
September 2026
14%
October 2026
73%
November 2026
4%
December 2026
3%
January 2027
<1%
February 2027
<1%
March 2027
<1%
April 2027
<1%
May 2027
<1%
June 2027
<1%
July 2027
<1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
<1%
October 2027
<1%
November 2027
<1%
December 2027
<1%
No IPO before 2028
1%
October 2026 73%
September 2026 14%
November 2026 4.3%
December 2026 2.8%
$76,876 Vol.
$76,876 Vol.
September 2026
14%
October 2026
73%
November 2026
4%
December 2026
3%
January 2027
<1%
February 2027
<1%
March 2027
<1%
April 2027
<1%
May 2027
<1%
June 2027
<1%
July 2027
<1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
<1%
October 2027
<1%
November 2027
<1%
December 2027
<1%
No IPO before 2028
1%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of Anthropic preparing a public S-1 filing imminently, following its confidential June 2026 submission, have driven strong trader consensus toward an October 2026 IPO at 73% implied probability. The company’s $65 billion Series H round, $965 billion valuation, and projected $190–200 billion 2028 revenue underpin banker discussions with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley for a potential record-sized listing near $2 trillion. Traders view the procedural clock from the confidential filing—typically three to six months—as aligning with an October Nasdaq window, especially amid robust AI investor demand and OpenAI’s shift toward 2027. September remains a secondary possibility at 14% if public filing accelerates, while later 2026 or 2027 outcomes reflect typical slippage risks from SEC review or market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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