Increased H200 supply from recent NVIDIA shipments, including releases tied to export channels, has intensified competition among neocloud providers and kept most on-demand rates clustered between roughly $3.80 and $4.59 per GPU-hour. Specialist platforms such as Jarvislabs, Nebius, RunPod, and Akash Network dominate the lower end of this band, while hyperscalers remain far higher, creating tight market-implied odds between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 buckets. Persistent AI workload demand prevents sharper declines, yet ample availability and spot capacity cap upside. Final August pricing will hinge on any late-month capacity releases or large training commitments that could shift realized averages within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 40%
$4.50-$5.00 34%
<$4.00 11.0%
$5.00-$5.50 7%
$33,144 Vol.
$33,144 Vol.
<$4.00
14%
$4.00-$4.50
40%
$4.50-$5.00
34%
$5.00-$5.50
7%
$5.50-$6.00
5%
$6.00+
2%
$4.00-$4.50 40%
$4.50-$5.00 34%
<$4.00 11.0%
$5.00-$5.50 7%
$33,144 Vol.
$33,144 Vol.
<$4.00
14%
$4.00-$4.50
40%
$4.50-$5.00
34%
$5.00-$5.50
7%
$5.50-$6.00
5%
$6.00+
2%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Increased H200 supply from recent NVIDIA shipments, including releases tied to export channels, has intensified competition among neocloud providers and kept most on-demand rates clustered between roughly $3.80 and $4.59 per GPU-hour. Specialist platforms such as Jarvislabs, Nebius, RunPod, and Akash Network dominate the lower end of this band, while hyperscalers remain far higher, creating tight market-implied odds between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 buckets. Persistent AI workload demand prevents sharper declines, yet ample availability and spot capacity cap upside. Final August pricing will hinge on any late-month capacity releases or large training commitments that could shift realized averages within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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