Trader sentiment for H100 rental prices at end-2026 centers on Blackwell displacement versus sustained AI demand. Newer B200 and GB200 systems are ramping, pushing older Hopper GPUs into secondary workloads and compressing on-demand rates toward the $2–3 range seen in neocloud and marketplace quotes today. Persistent HBM memory shortages have prompted NVIDIA to notify customers of over-15% server price hikes effective 2027, supporting some floor for remaining H100 capacity. Power constraints and hyperscaler buildouts add further uncertainty, while spot and reserved pricing already reflects aggressive supply growth. The broad distribution across sub-$2 to $4+ buckets captures unresolved questions around how quickly frontier labs migrate workloads and whether memory or energy bottlenecks re-tighten availability before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 34.2%
$2.00-$2.50 15.6%
$3.00-$3.50 14.1%
$1.50-$2.00 13.0%
$42,964 Vol.
$42,964 Vol.
<$1.50
7%
$1.50-$2.00
13%
$2.00-$2.50
16%
$2.50-$3.00
34%
$3.00-$3.50
14%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
$4.00+
6%
$2.50-$3.00 34.2%
$2.00-$2.50 15.6%
$3.00-$3.50 14.1%
$1.50-$2.00 13.0%
$42,964 Vol.
$42,964 Vol.
<$1.50
7%
$1.50-$2.00
13%
$2.00-$2.50
16%
$2.50-$3.00
34%
$3.00-$3.50
14%
$3.50-$4.00
12%
$4.00+
6%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for H100 rental prices at end-2026 centers on Blackwell displacement versus sustained AI demand. Newer B200 and GB200 systems are ramping, pushing older Hopper GPUs into secondary workloads and compressing on-demand rates toward the $2–3 range seen in neocloud and marketplace quotes today. Persistent HBM memory shortages have prompted NVIDIA to notify customers of over-15% server price hikes effective 2027, supporting some floor for remaining H100 capacity. Power constraints and hyperscaler buildouts add further uncertainty, while spot and reserved pricing already reflects aggressive supply growth. The broad distribution across sub-$2 to $4+ buckets captures unresolved questions around how quickly frontier labs migrate workloads and whether memory or energy bottlenecks re-tighten availability before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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