Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped past July—drive the market’s strong consensus that no next Pro model will launch by August 31. As of late July, the model remains in partner testing with only a vague “coming soon” status, while Google has instead shipped lighter Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash variants in July and mid-August. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with the absence of any confirmed late-August window or API listing, underpins the 93%+ implied probability against an imminent release. A last-minute surprise rollout remains possible but would require an abrupt shift from Google’s current incremental Flash-focused cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo release by August 31 93.3%
August 27 2.3%
August 24 1.4%
August 26 1.0%
$304,546 Vol.
$304,546 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
1%
August 27
2%
August 28
1%
August 29
1%
August 30
1%
August 31
1%
No release by August 31
93%
No release by August 31 93.3%
August 27 2.3%
August 24 1.4%
August 26 1.0%
$304,546 Vol.
$304,546 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
August 24
$6,240 Vol.
1%
August 25
$6,857 Vol.
1%
August 26
$5,050 Vol.
1%
August 27
$9,673 Vol.
2%
August 28
$4,677 Vol.
1%
August 29
$6,779 Vol.
1%
August 30
$3,659 Vol.
1%
August 31
$9,213 Vol.
1%
No release by August 31
$75,602 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped past July—drive the market’s strong consensus that no next Pro model will launch by August 31. As of late July, the model remains in partner testing with only a vague “coming soon” status, while Google has instead shipped lighter Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash variants in July and mid-August. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with the absence of any confirmed late-August window or API listing, underpins the 93%+ implied probability against an imminent release. A last-minute surprise rollout remains possible but would require an abrupt shift from Google’s current incremental Flash-focused cadence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$304,546End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped past July—drive the market’s strong consensus that no next Pro model will launch by August 31. As of late July, the model remains in partner testing with only a vague “coming soon” status, while Google has instead shipped lighter Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash variants in July and mid-August. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with the absence of any confirmed late-August window or API listing, underpins the 93%+ implied probability against an imminent release. A last-minute surprise rollout remains possible but would require an abrupt shift from Google’s current incremental Flash-focused cadence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$304,546End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped past July—drive the market’s strong consensus that no next Pro model will launch by August 31. As of late July, the model remains in partner testing with only a vague “coming soon” status, while Google has instead shipped lighter Gemini 3.6 and 3.7 Flash variants in July and mid-August. This pattern of timeline slippage, combined with the absence of any confirmed late-August window or API listing, underpins the 93%+ implied probability against an imminent release. A last-minute surprise rollout remains possible but would require an abrupt shift from Google’s current incremental Flash-focused cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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