Increased supply from hundreds of new GPU cloud providers and hyperscaler expansions has driven H100 rental prices down sharply from 2024 peaks above $8 per hour, with recent medians around $2–3.50 per hour on spot and on-demand tiers as of mid-2026. Persistent AI training demand, constrained Blackwell B200 allocations to large customers, and sold-out on-demand capacity have produced partial rebounds in contract rates (up ~40% early in the year). Key swing factors include further B200 volume ramps, TSMC CoWoS packaging relief expected late 2026, and hyperscaler vs. neocloud pricing spreads that continue to compress. Traders monitor utilization data and forward bookings for signs of renewed shortages or oversupply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 30, 2026
↑ $3.50
67%
↓ $2.25
75%
↓ $2.00
47%
↓ $1.50
38%
$7,981 Vol.
↑ $3.50
$2,169 Vol.
67%
↓ $2.25
$1,253 Vol.
75%
↓ $2.00
$2,167 Vol.
47%
↓ $1.50
$208 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from hundreds of new GPU cloud providers and hyperscaler expansions has driven H100 rental prices down sharply from 2024 peaks above $8 per hour, with recent medians around $2–3.50 per hour on spot and on-demand tiers as of mid-2026. Persistent AI training demand, constrained Blackwell B200 allocations to large customers, and sold-out on-demand capacity have produced partial rebounds in contract rates (up ~40% early in the year). Key swing factors include further B200 volume ramps, TSMC CoWoS packaging relief expected late 2026, and hyperscaler vs. neocloud pricing spreads that continue to compress. Traders monitor utilization data and forward bookings for signs of renewed shortages or oversupply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ET
Volume
$7,981End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from hundreds of new GPU cloud providers and hyperscaler expansions has driven H100 rental prices down sharply from 2024 peaks above $8 per hour, with recent medians around $2–3.50 per hour on spot and on-demand tiers as of mid-2026. Persistent AI training demand, constrained Blackwell B200 allocations to large customers, and sold-out on-demand capacity have produced partial rebounds in contract rates (up ~40% early in the year). Key swing factors include further B200 volume ramps, TSMC CoWoS packaging relief expected late 2026, and hyperscaler vs. neocloud pricing spreads that continue to compress. Traders monitor utilization data and forward bookings for signs of renewed shortages or oversupply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$7,981End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Increased supply from hundreds of new GPU cloud providers and hyperscaler expansions has driven H100 rental prices down sharply from 2024 peaks above $8 per hour, with recent medians around $2–3.50 per hour on spot and on-demand tiers as of mid-2026. Persistent AI training demand, constrained Blackwell B200 allocations to large customers, and sold-out on-demand capacity have produced partial rebounds in contract rates (up ~40% early in the year). Key swing factors include further B200 volume ramps, TSMC CoWoS packaging relief expected late 2026, and hyperscaler vs. neocloud pricing spreads that continue to compress. Traders monitor utilization data and forward bookings for signs of renewed shortages or oversupply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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