Current rental rates for RTX 5090 instances cluster in the $0.45–$0.60 per hour range across major marketplaces, driving the 77.5% implied probability for the $0.50–$0.55 bin. Abundant supply from consumer-grade Blackwell cards listed on Vast.ai, RunPod, Clore.ai, and similar platforms supports competitive on-demand pricing near $0.29–$0.57, with spot rates often lower. AI inference workloads sustain steady demand, yet expanded availability since the early 2025 launch and provider competition have prevented sustained spikes. Memory cost pressures affect hardware retail but have limited direct impact on hourly cloud rates, leaving the market-implied odds aligned with observed mid-August listings and limited near-term catalysts for sharp movement by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$0.50-$0.55 78%
$0.45-$0.50 14%
$0.55-$0.60 8.0%
$0.60+ 1.1%
$38,896 Vol.
$38,896 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$0.40
<1%
$0.40-$0.45
<1%
$0.45-$0.50
14%
$0.50-$0.55
78%
$0.55-$0.60
8%
$0.60+
1%
$0.50-$0.55 78%
$0.45-$0.50 14%
$0.55-$0.60 8.0%
$0.60+ 1.1%
$38,896 Vol.
$38,896 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$0.40
$2,200 Vol.
<1%
$0.40-$0.45
$2,848 Vol.
<1%
$0.45-$0.50
$18,172 Vol.
14%
$0.50-$0.55
$9,393 Vol.
78%
$0.55-$0.60
$3,191 Vol.
8%
$0.60+
$3,093 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current rental rates for RTX 5090 instances cluster in the $0.45–$0.60 per hour range across major marketplaces, driving the 77.5% implied probability for the $0.50–$0.55 bin. Abundant supply from consumer-grade Blackwell cards listed on Vast.ai, RunPod, Clore.ai, and similar platforms supports competitive on-demand pricing near $0.29–$0.57, with spot rates often lower. AI inference workloads sustain steady demand, yet expanded availability since the early 2025 launch and provider competition have prevented sustained spikes. Memory cost pressures affect hardware retail but have limited direct impact on hourly cloud rates, leaving the market-implied odds aligned with observed mid-August listings and limited near-term catalysts for sharp movement by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Volume
$38,896End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current rental rates for RTX 5090 instances cluster in the $0.45–$0.60 per hour range across major marketplaces, driving the 77.5% implied probability for the $0.50–$0.55 bin. Abundant supply from consumer-grade Blackwell cards listed on Vast.ai, RunPod, Clore.ai, and similar platforms supports competitive on-demand pricing near $0.29–$0.57, with spot rates often lower. AI inference workloads sustain steady demand, yet expanded availability since the early 2025 launch and provider competition have prevented sustained spikes. Memory cost pressures affect hardware retail but have limited direct impact on hourly cloud rates, leaving the market-implied odds aligned with observed mid-August listings and limited near-term catalysts for sharp movement by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$38,896End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current rental rates for RTX 5090 instances cluster in the $0.45–$0.60 per hour range across major marketplaces, driving the 77.5% implied probability for the $0.50–$0.55 bin. Abundant supply from consumer-grade Blackwell cards listed on Vast.ai, RunPod, Clore.ai, and similar platforms supports competitive on-demand pricing near $0.29–$0.57, with spot rates often lower. AI inference workloads sustain steady demand, yet expanded availability since the early 2025 launch and provider competition have prevented sustained spikes. Memory cost pressures affect hardware retail but have limited direct impact on hourly cloud rates, leaving the market-implied odds aligned with observed mid-August listings and limited near-term catalysts for sharp movement by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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