Tight supply of the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, launched in January 2025 with 32 GB GDDR7, continues to support rental rates near current medians of $0.46–$0.56 per hour across marketplaces such as Vast.ai and RunPod. Sustained AI inference demand for mid-size large language models, combined with GDDR7 memory shortages that favor datacenter Blackwell parts, limits consumer card availability and keeps secondary-market GPU pricing elevated. Traders see limited near-term relief before October as no major supply ramp or competing AMD refresh has materialized, while a rumored RTX 5090 Ti or Titan variant slated for Q3 2026 could add marginal capacity or shift workloads. This balance of persistent demand and constrained production explains the tight clustering around the $0.45–$0.55 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$0.45-$0.50 35%
$0.50-$0.55 30%
$0.40-$0.45 12%
$0.60+ 8.9%
<$0.40
2%
$0.40-$0.45
12%
$0.45-$0.50
35%
$0.50-$0.55
30%
$0.55-$0.60
9%
$0.60+
9%
$0.45-$0.50 35%
$0.50-$0.55 30%
$0.40-$0.45 12%
$0.60+ 8.9%
<$0.40
2%
$0.40-$0.45
12%
$0.45-$0.50
35%
$0.50-$0.55
30%
$0.55-$0.60
9%
$0.60+
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight supply of the NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090, launched in January 2025 with 32 GB GDDR7, continues to support rental rates near current medians of $0.46–$0.56 per hour across marketplaces such as Vast.ai and RunPod. Sustained AI inference demand for mid-size large language models, combined with GDDR7 memory shortages that favor datacenter Blackwell parts, limits consumer card availability and keeps secondary-market GPU pricing elevated. Traders see limited near-term relief before October as no major supply ramp or competing AMD refresh has materialized, while a rumored RTX 5090 Ti or Titan variant slated for Q3 2026 could add marginal capacity or shift workloads. This balance of persistent demand and constrained production explains the tight clustering around the $0.45–$0.55 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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